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Fools
Rush In
A Need To Know Basis
Too often investors
buy shares in a stock armed with little more than the ticker symbol
and a tip from a friend at work. Why not arm yourself with the best
possible information, especially when it is all there at your fingertips
for free? Here are the bare bones factors that are important to
know about the company you are going to invest in, and how they
can impact the prices of shares.
Revenues
This
is how much money the company is making. Many penny stocks may not
have revenues at all if they are in the development stage, or if
they are trying to bring a brand new product to market. However,
if the company has been around a while they had better have enough
revenues to offset some of the costs. If the company is in its growth
stages, there has to be an increasing trend in revenues. If they
are trying to gain market share, or break into new markets, their
success should be tempered with improving revenues.
Earnings
Of
course, revenues are just a precursor to earnings. All companies
want to eventually make money, and it is when they start bringing
in more revenues than costs that all the magic happens. Positive
earnings can have an excellent effect on penny stock companies,
because they are suddenly on their way to becoming something more.
If a penny stock
is not heavily funded from external sources, or they don't have
a significant cash position, they need positive earnings to stay
afloat, fund ongoing operations, and take advantage of their intended
strategic options.
Debt
Some
companies can get saddled by enormous debt, especially in their
start-up or early growth phases. This can be detrimental in many
ways, as interest payments can cut into earnings, and creditors
can pull strings at inopportune times, effectively sweeping the
feet out from under a fragile company. There are also issues of
control, and dependence.
Until
a company's revenues out-pace expenses, debt will continue to grow.
Unless, of course, the company raises capital through other means
such as dilutive stock offerings, or by giving up significant control
to venture capitalists.
Assets
All
of the cash, inventories, and property of a company have some value,
and can give you a quick glimpse of the health and position of a
company. For example, if they have six million in cash, with yearly
costs of one million, you could assume that they would be able to
meet their operational requirements for a long time.
If
they had significant miscellaneous assets, they may be able to sell
these off to raise capital if they needed. However, if their assets
are well below their liabilities, the company will likely need to
find a quick source of financing to meet their obligations.
Liabilities
Here
is how much the company owes or needs to pay out. The lower the
value the better, especially when compared to assets. There should
almost never be higher liabilities than assets. In fact a ratio
of 1:2 is standard in some sectors, to give a company some breathing
room.
The
Bare Bones
Without
at least this basic understanding, it is unlikely that you have
enough information on the stock you are interested in. Sure, its
great to jump on board a stock with a good story, but if you dig
a little deeper you may find that the company actually has a great
story, or has some underlying problems that the average investor
may not know about.
Help
is near
For
help with penny stock picks you might want to check out Pennystockinsider.com
Sites like this can provide you with the information you need to
make wise penny stock investment choices.
Peter Leeds,
one of North America's leading Investment Coaches, is a self-made
millionaire who has created his fortunes on the stock markets. He
has also empowered thousands of individuals to do the same. His
personal success and incredible ability to consistently pick money-making
stocks has earned him a loyal following of successful investors
and has generated significant attention from the financial world.
Income
Investing: Selecting the Right Stuff
When is 3 percent better than 6 percent? Yeah, we all know the answer,
but only until the prices of the securities we already own begin
to fall. Then, logic and mathematical acumen disappear and we become
susceptible to all kinds of special cures for the periodic onset
of higher interest rates. We’ll be told to sit in cash until
rates stop rising, or to sell the securities we own now, before
they lose even more of their precious Market Value. Other gurus
will suggest the purchase of shorter-term bonds or CDs (ugh) to
stem the tide of the perceived erosion in portfolio values. There
are two important things that your mother never told you about Income
Investing: (1) Higher Interest Rates are good for investors, even
better than lower rates, and (2) Selecting the right securities
to take advantage of the interest rate cycle is not particularly
difficult.
Higher Interest Rates are the result of the Government’s efforts
to slow a growing economy in hopes of preventing an appearance of
the three headed inflation monster. A quick glance over your shoulder
might remind you of recent times when the government was trying
to heal the wounds of a misguided Wall Street attack on traditional
investment principles by lowering interest rates. The strategy worked,
the economy rebounded, and Wall Street is trying to scramble back
to where it was nearly six years ago. Think about the impact of
changing interest rates on your Income Securities during the past
five years. Bonds and Preferred Stocks; Government and Municipal
Securities; they all moved higher in Market Value. Sure you felt
wealthier, but the increase in your Annual Spendable Income got
smaller and smaller. Your total income could well have decreased
during the period as higher interest rate holdings were called away
(at face value), and reinvestments were made at lower yields!
How
many of you have mental bruises from the realization that you could
have taken profits during the downward trajectory of the cycle,
on the very securities that you now lament over. The nerve; falling
below the price you paid for them years ago. But the income on these
turncoats is the same as it was in 2004, when their prices were
ten or twenty percent higher. This is the work of Mother Nature’s
financial twin sister. It’s like acorns, snowfalls, and crocuses.
You need to dress properly for seasonal changes and invest properly
for cyclical changes. Remember the days of Bearer Bonds? There was
never a whisper about Market Value erosion. Was it the IRS or Institutional
Wall Street that took them away?
Higher
rates are good for investors, particularly when retirement is a
factor in your investment decisions. The more you receive for your
reinvestment dollars, the more likely it is that you won’t
need a second job to maintain your standard of living. I know of
no retail entity, from grocery store to cruise line that will accept
the Market Value of your portfolio as payment for goods or services.
Income pays the bills, more is always better than less, and only
increased income levels can protect you from inflation! So, you
say, how does a person take advantage of the cyclical nature of
interest rates to garner the best possible income on investment
quality securities? You might also ask why Wall Street makes such
a fuss about the dismal bond market and offers more of their patented
Sell Low, Buy High advisories, but that should be fairly obvious.
An unhappy investor is Wall Streets best customer.
Selecting
the right securities to take advantage of the interest rate cycle
is not particularly difficult, but it does require a change in focus
from the statement bottom line… and the use of a few security
types that you may not be 100% comfortable with. I’m going
to assume that you are familiar with these investments, each of
which could be considered (from time to time) for a spot in the
well diversified Income Portion of your Asset Allocation: (1) The
traditional individual Municipal and Corporate Bonds, Treasuries,
Government Agency Securities, and Preferred Stocks. (2) The eyebrow
raising Unit Trust varietals, Closed End Funds, Royalty Trusts,
and REITs. [Purposely excluded: CDs and Money Funds, which are not
investments by definition; CMOs and Zeros, mutations developed by
some sicko MBAs; and Open End Mutual Funds, which just can’t
work because they are really “managed by the mob”…
i.e., investors.] The market rules that apply to all of these are
fairly predictable, but the ability to create a safer, higher yielding,
and flexible portfolio varies considerably within the security types.
For example, most people who invest in Individual bonds wind up
with a laundry list of odd lot positions, with short durations and
low yields, designed for the benefit of that smiling guy in the
big corner office. There is a better way, but you have to focus
on income and be willing to trade occasionally.
The
larger the portfolio, the more likely it is that you will be able
to buy round lots of a diversified group of bonds, preferred stocks,
etc. But regardless of size, individual securities of all kinds
have liquidity problems, higher risk levels than are necessary,
and lower yields spaced out over inconvenient time periods. Of the
traditional types listed above, only preferred stock holdings are
easily added to during upward interest rate movements, and cheap
to take profits on when rates fall. The downside on all of these
is their callability, in best-yield-first order. Wall Street loves
these securities because they command the highest possible trading
costs… costs that need not be disclosed to the consumer, particularly
at issue. Unit Trusts are traditional securities set to music, a
tune that generally assures the investor of a higher yield than
is possible through personal portfolio creation. There are several
additional advantages: instant diversification, quality, and monthly
cash flow that may include principal (better in rising rate markets,
ya follow?), and insulation from year-end swap scams. Unfortunately,
the Unit Trusts are not managed, so there are few capital gains
distributions to smile about, and once all of the securities are
redeemed, the party is over. Trading opportunities, the very heart
and soul of successful Portfolio Management, are practically non-existent.
What
if you could own common stock in companies that manage the traditional
Income Securities and other recognized income producers like real
estate, energy production, mortgages, etc.? Closed End Funds (CEFs),
REITs, and Royalty Trusts demand your attention… and don’t
let the idea of “leverage” spook you. AAA + insured
corporate bonds, and Utility Preferred Stocks are “leverage”.
The sacred 30-year Treasury Bond is “leverage”. Most
corporations, all governments (and most private citizens) use leverage.
Without leverage, most people would be commuting to work on bicycles.
Every CEF can be researched as part of your selection process to
determine how much leverage is involved, and the benefits…
you’re not going to be happy when you realize what you’ve
been talked out of! CEFs, and the other Investment Company securities
mentioned, are managed by professionals who are not taking their
direction form that mob (also mentioned earlier). They provide you
the opportunity to have a properly structured portfolio with a significantly
higher yield, even after the management fees that are inside.
Certainly,
a REIT or Royalty Trust is more risky than a CEF comprised of Preferred
Stocks or Corporate Bonds, but here you have a way to participate
in the widest variety of fixed and variable income alternatives
in a much more manageable form. When prices rise, profit taking
is routine in a liquid market; when prices fall, you can add to
your position, increasing your yield and reducing your cost basis
at the same time. Now don’t start to salivate about the prospect
of throwing all your money into Real Estate and/or Gas and Oil Pipelines.
Diversify properly as you would with any other investments, and
make sure that your living expenses (actual or projected) are taken
care of by the less risky CEFs in the portfolio. In bond CEFs, you
can get un-leveraged portfolios, state specific and/or insured Municipal
portfolios, etc. Monthly income (frequently augmented by capital
gains distributions) at a level that is most often significantly
better than your broker can obtain for you. I told you you’d
be angry!
Another
feature of Investment Company shares (and please stay away from
gimmicky, passively managed, or indexed types) is somewhat surprising
and difficult to explain. The price you pay for the shares frequently
represents a discount from the market value of the securities contained
in the managed portfolio. So instead of buying a diversified group
of illiquid individual securities at a premium, you are reaping
the benefit of a portfolio of (quite possibly the same) securities
at a discount. Additionally, and unlike regular Mutual Funds that
can issue as many shares as they like without your approval, CEFs
will give you the first shot at any additional shares they intend
to distribute to investors.
Stop,
put down the phone. Move into these securities calmly, without taking
unnecessary losses on good quality holdings, and never buy a new
issue. I meant to say: absolutely never buy a new issue, for all
of the usual reasons. As with individual securities, there are reasons
for unusually high or low yields, like too much risk or poor management.
No matter how well managed a junk bond portfolio is, it’s
still just junk. So do a little research and spread your dollars
around the many management companies that are out there. If your
advisor tells you that all of this is risky, ill-advised foolishness…
well, that’s Wall Street, and the baby needs shoes.
The
final article in this Income Investing trilogy will be on managing
the Income Portfolio using the Working Capital Model.
Steve
Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The
Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A
Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"
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